Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#178
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Pace56.6#347
Improvement-0.6#202

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#205
Improvement+2.0#80

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#161
Improvement-2.6#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four92.8% n/a n/a
First Round64.5% n/a n/a
Second Round1.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 2   @ Arizona L 62-73 2%     0 - 1 +11.9 +13.0 -2.6
  Nov 12, 2013 139   Nevada L 58-60 50%     0 - 2 -2.9 -11.8 +8.7
  Nov 20, 2013 123   @ Fresno St. L 46-63 26%     0 - 3 -11.1 -21.2 +8.2
  Nov 29, 2013 255   North Dakota W 70-43 65%     1 - 3 +22.0 -3.9 +27.4
  Nov 30, 2013 153   Pacific L 71-73 42%     1 - 4 -1.0 +2.6 -3.7
  Dec 01, 2013 24   @ Oregon L 61-82 6%     1 - 5 -4.8 -0.3 -6.6
  Dec 07, 2013 152   Santa Clara W 64-53 53%     2 - 5 +9.4 -3.0 +13.7
  Dec 17, 2013 174   @ Loyola Marymount L 59-79 38%     2 - 6 -17.8 -13.3 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2013 17   @ Pittsburgh L 56-73 6%     2 - 7 +0.2 -3.5 +2.2
  Dec 29, 2013 34   @ Stanford L 62-79 8%     2 - 8 -2.7 -2.0 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2014 114   @ Delaware L 72-82 24%     2 - 9 -3.5 +0.6 -4.2
  Jan 09, 2014 135   Hawaii W 77-65 49%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +11.3 +5.0 +6.9
  Jan 11, 2014 108   @ UC Santa Barbara W 72-64 23%     4 - 9 2 - 0 +14.8 +17.6 -1.0
  Jan 16, 2014 213   Cal St. Northridge W 62-52 68%     5 - 9 3 - 0 +4.3 -3.6 +10.0
  Jan 18, 2014 140   Long Beach St. L 62-63 50%     5 - 10 3 - 1 -2.0 +2.8 -4.9
  Jan 23, 2014 233   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 58-56 52%     6 - 10 4 - 1 +0.6 +0.7 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2014 268   @ UC Riverside L 58-61 58%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -6.0 -0.7 -6.1
  Jan 30, 2014 304   UC Davis L 58-62 86%     6 - 12 4 - 3 -16.3 -12.1 -5.1
  Feb 01, 2014 98   UC Irvine L 50-64 39%     6 - 13 4 - 4 -12.1 -8.5 -6.3
  Feb 08, 2014 135   @ Hawaii L 60-69 29%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -4.1 -4.6 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2014 213   @ Cal St. Northridge W 62-55 47%     7 - 14 5 - 5 +6.9 -8.7 +16.2
  Feb 15, 2014 140   @ Long Beach St. L 65-74 30%     7 - 15 5 - 6 -4.4 -1.5 -3.3
  Feb 20, 2014 233   Cal St. Fullerton L 59-67 72%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -14.9 -15.7 +0.6
  Feb 22, 2014 268   UC Riverside W 69-64 77%     8 - 16 6 - 7 -3.6 +2.2 -5.1
  Feb 27, 2014 304   @ UC Davis L 73-85 71%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -18.7 -1.4 -18.1
  Mar 01, 2014 98   @ UC Irvine L 48-55 21%     8 - 18 6 - 9 +0.5 -8.2 +7.4
  Mar 08, 2014 108   UC Santa Barbara L 55-71 42%     8 - 19 6 - 10 -14.8 -9.2 -8.4
  Mar 13, 2014 108   UC Santa Barbara W 69-38 32%     9 - 19 +35.0 +17.8 +26.6
  Mar 14, 2014 98   UC Irvine W 61-58 30%     10 - 19 +7.7 +11.6 -3.1
  Mar 15, 2014 213   Cal St. Northridge W 61-59 58%     11 - 19 -0.9 -8.0 +7.4
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7